Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 3.849593 4.110713 4.392743 4.722230 5.099538 5.521789 6.035423
2025-02-23 3.397516 3.733639 4.117054 4.593813 5.181316 5.896969 6.861054
2025-03-02 3.012676 3.378374 3.812264 4.377807 5.116705 6.084138 7.516395
2025-03-09 2.760027 3.150029 3.629171 4.281383 5.183006 6.454067 8.543993
2025-03-16 2.517105 2.909535 3.404140 4.099864 5.105403 6.612933 9.337892
2025-03-23 2.378461 2.787478 3.317691 4.091751 5.270693 7.178804 11.102062
2025-03-30 2.244915 2.660230 3.211038 4.040523 5.362683 7.658768 13.043168
2025-04-06 2.115356 2.528120 3.085342 3.945463 5.368674 7.995568 14.983011
2025-04-13 1.986159 2.387741 2.936625 3.798861 5.264961 8.099275 16.472608
2025-04-20 1.927450 2.339672 2.914761 3.845277 5.504106 8.994218 21.814308
2025-04-27 1.878371 2.301231 2.902937 3.905376 5.781241 10.112686 31.449059
2025-05-04 1.841233 2.276810 2.909218 3.995422 6.137947 11.656272 55.031562
2025-05-11 1.782693 2.223426 2.875445 4.028420 6.425015 13.376655 143.386524
2025-05-18 1.718076 2.157660 2.817951 4.014050 6.614934 15.052378 62240.849305
2025-05-25 1.639070 2.066458 2.713998 3.903413 6.559786 15.813854 NaN
2025-06-01 1.581768 2.004925 2.653771 3.869060 6.689673 17.661092 NaN
2025-06-08 1.512905 1.922576 2.554377 3.749060 6.575591 18.236287 NaN
2025-06-15 1.474670 1.885029 2.526338 3.766151 6.836953 21.594356 NaN
2025-06-22 1.431771 1.838112 2.479393 3.739945 6.974971 24.726836 NaN
2025-06-29 1.384738 1.782648 2.414593 3.670287 6.969844 26.915265 NaN
2025-07-06 1.332647 1.717278 2.329508 3.550759 6.787489 27.093758 NaN
2025-07-13 1.311129 1.698918 2.324061 3.598970 7.151505 35.553410 NaN
2025-07-20 1.292444 1.684055 2.323532 3.657798 7.581410 51.153501 NaN